What Results From Tennessee-7 Race Really Mean

“Republicans won Tuesday’s special election in Tennessee,” wrote Politico on the morning after Matt Van Epps’ closer-than-normal retention of the district of former Republican Rep. Mark Green. “But instead of celebrating, many are dreading what it means about the midterms.”

Actually, the results from Tennessee-7 — Van Epps defeated liberal Democrat state Rep. Aftyn Behn 54% to 45% in a district President Donald Trump carried — are not unusual for a president’s party during his first year in the White House.

Freed of competing elections elsewhere in the nation and thus able to focus its resources on one contest, the opposition party to the president historically does very well in House special elections during a president’s first year.

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