With less than a year before voters determine which party controls the U.S. Senate, both Democrats and Republicans are maneuvering aggressively. Democrats are trying to build on a handful of off-year victories, while Republicans aim to protect their majority and capitalize on Democrat-driven divisions in key states.
Democrats face an uphill climb: they must flip four seats. Yet the party is projecting confidence, boosted by high-profile recruits and a belief that the political climate may shift in their favor. Republicans, meanwhile, see opportunity in messy Democratic primaries and candidates carrying significant baggage.
Below is a Thanksgiving weekend look at the five Senate seats most likely to flip in 2026.
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